Green Modelling Consultant; Macroeconomic​/Input-Output Modelling

The Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI) is an intergovernmental organization headquartered in Seoul, Republic of Korea, founded to support and promote a model of economic growth known as “green growth”, which targets a coherent approach to economic performance, poverty reduction, job creation, social inclusion and environmental sustainability. GGGI works with its Members and partners to strengthen their capacity and to design and deliver green growth policies and investments.

Green employment is a core area of GGGI's work: its Green Employment Assessment framework has been applied in more than 40 countries.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has set out an ambitious policy framework to drive green employment and economic diversification, including UAE Vision 2031, the UAE Centennial 2071, the UAE Green Agenda 2015–2030, the National Employment Strategy 2031, the UAE Net Zero 2050 Strategic Initiative and the country's Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). To support these goals, GGGI, the Abdulla Al Ghurair Foundation (AGF) and the Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (MOCCAE) have established a strategic partnership under the Nomu Al Ghurair Green Pathway program, which aims to prepare Emirati and Arab youth for green jobs and entrepreneurship, with a target of 1,560 positive career outcomes by 2028.

The foundational first activity of the program is the Green Growth Ecosystem's Enablers Assessment (Activity

A.1.1), which combines three analyses: (1) an assessment of the UAE's climate startup ecosystem conditions; (2) green employment quantification; and (3) the alignment of skills gaps to curriculum and training development.

This consultancy covers Analysis 2 – Green Employment Quantification
. The analysis will estimate the current baseline and forecast the future potential of green jobs across the UAE economy, using macroeconomic modelling to evaluate the employment effects of green growth scenarios and climate policies. It will update and enhance the 2019 MOCCAE–GGGI report “UAE Green Jobs Program:
Jobs and Skills for the UAE's Green Economy Transformation” with more recent data, more rigorous modelling and sectoral coverage aligned with the UAE's current green growth agenda, including the 13 priority areas identified in the Concept Note (e.g., renewable energy and energy efficiency, clean hydrogen, water, green buildings, sustainable transport and mobility, green logistics, sustainable agriculture and food, waste and circular economy, sustainable hospitality and tourism, sustainable healthcare, ESG and sustainable finance, and AI).

The results will provide the quantitative foundation for the program's sector prioritization, employer partnerships, green business incubator focus areas and employment targets. The model will also be institutionalized to support the program's Annual Green Skills and Jobs Outlook (Output 3.3), and the findings will be shared with MOCCAE and other government entities to support national policy and planning.

GGGI will hire the consultant, who will report to the GGGI Project Manager, with technical guidance from the GGGI Technical Oversight Lead. The consultant will work closely with the GGGI team, the National Consultant (stakeholder engagement and data collection) and the International Consultant responsible for peer review of the models.

The overall objective of the assignment is to design, build and apply a macroeconomic employment model that quantifies net employment, at the most disaggregated level possible, for all economic sectors of the UAE at the national level, under a Business-as-Usual (BAU) baseline and green growth scenarios. Specifically, the consultant will:

• Establish the green employment…