Senior Strategic Analysis Manager

Job title:
Senior Strategic Analysis Manager

Grade:
Band 4

Contract type:
Strategic Analysis

Reference: 5408

Number of roles: 1 x Full Time
Contract details:
Permanent, Hybrid

All offers of employment are subject to satisfactory right-to-work checks, and candidates must be able to demonstrate their legal right to work in the UK. In certain circumstances, TfL may be able to sponsor Skilled Worker visas for roles and individuals that meet the required eligibility criteria, including those covered by transitional rules. Further details can be found here:

Our response to visa sponsorship changes.

Strategic Analysis is at the heart of the Strategy Directorate, providing the evaluation and evidence that underpins TfL’s strategy, policy and project development work. With over 40 analysts, the department leads on the development and use of TfL’s suite of strategic transport models, conducts the London Travel Demand Survey, produces the annual Travel in London report and leads the production of transport analysis studies for major transport schemes, large scale developments and Opportunity Areas.

We include specialists in scenario planning, strategic modelling, analysis, GIS and air quality amongst other disciplines. Examples of our work can be found at Travel in London reports
- Transport for London. More information about our strategic models at Strategic transport models
- Transport for London.

An opportunity has arisen for a permanent role of Senior Strategic Analysis Manager, leading the Demand Forecasting team.

This role leads on the development and application of TfL's strategic demand forecasting capability, providing the evidence base for key policy, investment and business decisions across London.

As the technical authority for TfL’s Strategic Analysis modelling suite, this role oversees the development and application of three major modelling tools:

MoTiON, TfL's strategic demand forecasting model

AB-MoTiON, our industry-leading activity-based modelling framework

LonLUTI, TfL's integrated Land Use and Transport Interaction model

You will shape and deliver the strategic vision for the development and integration of the modelling suite, ensuring it remains fit for purpose, oversee model governance and assurance, and lead the transition to the next generation of forecasting approaches ensuring TfL remain at the forefront of industry best practice.

The team uses modelling and analysis to anticipate future challenges and opportunities, provide robust evidence and people‑centric insights to support decision‑making across the organisation. The role is varied and involves long‑term

demand forecasting, informing business strategy, long‑term planning and investment decisions, land use analysis, and the assessment of emerging technologies, trends and future travel behaviours.

You will work closely with teams across TfL, engaging with major policy, planning and investment programmes and ensuring that strategic forecasting and analysis are embedded within TfL’s decision‑making. You will also build and maintain strong relationships with senior stakeholders across the GLA, DfT, London boroughs, academia and industry. Through this work, you will help shape TfL's understanding of how London may evolve and the implications for transport and customers.

To inspire and develop a team of technical experts to investigate and forecast the impacts of policies, schemes, population and employment growth, economic change and emerging trends using advanced modelling, analytical methods, data science, research and scenario planning techniques.

To provide the Strategy Senior Leadership Team, TfL's Executive Committee, the Deputy Mayor for Transport and relevant TfL Directors with critical business information on current travel trends and progress towards the Mayor's Transport Strategy and London Plan.

To provide future travel demand forecasts and strategic modelling evidence that informs key business decisions on TfL's strategic direction, investment programme and the business case for major projects, while directing the development, integration and transition of the Strategic Analysis…