Political Risk Expert - Fully Remote

Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark
, General Catalyst
, Peter Thiel
, Adam D'Angelo
, Larry Summers
, and Jack Dorsey
.

Local Political Expert Elections Forecasting & Political Risk

Contract

$150–$250/hour

Remote

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
• Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
• Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
• Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
• Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance.

• Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states.
• On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, candidates, and local political environment.
• A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races.
• Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
• 8+ years of direct experience or equivalent performance.

• Experience in political science departments and survey research centers at universities in target states.
• State and regional pollsters, state-level campaign and party analytics teams.
• Decision desks or race-ratings outlets with state-specific coverage.
• National forecasting or political-risk experience with deep knowledge of a specific state.

• Profiles with experience mainly in international politics, geopolitics, or country risk.
• Analysts who have not worked on a current or recent US race in the state they would cover.
• Pure communications or journalism profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment.
• Academic profiles whose work is purely theoretical, with no analysis of live races.