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Senior Elections Forecaster & Political Risk Analyst

Job in San Francisco, San Francisco County, California, 94199, USA
Listing for: Mercor
Full Time position
Listed on 2026-10-11
Job specializations:
  • Business
    Economics
Salary/Wage Range or Industry Benchmark: 150000 - 210000 USD Yearly USD 150000.00 210000.00 YEAR
Job Description & How to Apply Below

Obsidian is seeking a senior elections forecaster to author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a fixed evidence cutoff. You will make directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds, and explain the causal mechanisms behind expected political and market impacts.

You will also review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own high standards, contributing to high-quality political-risk forecasting and analysis for AI model evaluation.

As a Senior Elections Forecaster & Political Risk Analyst, you will play an important part at Mercor in San Francisco, CA, United States.

If your experience matches this role, we encourage you to apply.

All applications are reviewed carefully by our team.

The position is based in San Francisco, CA, United States.

This opportunity is part of our work in Human Resources, IT & Technology.

Position Requirements
10+ Years work experience
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