CD&A - Director of Commercial Forecasting, Obesity

CD&A - Director of Commercial Forecasting, Obesity

Join Amgen’s mission of serving patients. At Amgen, if you feel like you’re part of something bigger, it’s because you are. Our shared mission to serve patients living with serious illnesses drives all that we do. Since 1980, we’ve helped pioneer the world of biotech in our fight against the world’s toughest diseases. With our focus on four therapeutic areas – Oncology, Inflammation, General Medicine, and Rare Disease – we reach millions of patients each year.

As a member of the Amgen team, you’ll help make a lasting impact on the lives of patients as we research, manufacture, and deliver innovative medicines to help people live longer, fuller, and happier lives.

What you will do

The Forecasting team at Amgen serves as a key partner to Commercial leadership, providing strategic guidance and data‑backed insights. This role is instrumental in driving commercial success and shaping future strategies for our Obesity business unit. The Director of Forecasting will oversee a team of full‑time Amgen employees and will be responsible for leading the forecasting efforts for the Obesity business unit.

You will influence and challenge stakeholders from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while understanding the nuances of a rapidly evolving obesity market. You will mentor and develop talent, guide the team, provide technical expertise in forecasting methodologies, and articulate the interplay between Forecasting and related functions within Commercial Data & Analytics (Market Research, Analytics, Commercial Insights, Competitive Intelligence, and Marketing Mix) in contributing to the forecast.

Flexible commuter role to the Thousand Oaks, CA office. On‑site 2‑3 days per week.

This position reports to the Executive Director of Global Obesity and will be responsible for the following:

• Primary point of contact for senior Therapeutic Area leaders to ensure development of data/insight driven short‑term and long‑term forecasts for various brands within the Obesity Business Unit.

• Preparing and presenting portfolio‑level forecast updates for senior leadership to address specific questions.

• Facilitating consensus‑building among senior collaborators to establish clear, transparent, and rigorous sales expectations for the portfolio assets by gaining their alignment and endorsement for forecast assumptions (inline indications as well as new near‑term launches).

• Helping leadership identify actionable strategies to improve Commercial potential by identifying and prioritizing relevant risks & opportunities.

• Analyzing competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions.

• Developing an objective point of view of portfolio strategy by integrating insights across multiple products, functions and capability areas.

• Leveraging communication and interpersonal skills to influence leadership on recommended course of action.

• Quantifying uncertainty through scenario planning and advanced simulation models (e.g., Monte Carlo analysis, statistical trending).

• Using an in‑depth understanding of diverse pharmaceutical data sources (eg. LAAD, National Audit Rx, Xponent, Epidemiology data sources, etc.) and their nuances to develop and implement enhanced forecasting approaches and methodologies.

• Creating and delivering effective presentations that are transparent and articulate all key variables in the forecast, ensuring clarity and comprehensive understanding for partners involved in decision‑making processes.

• Collaborating with the broader CD&A (Commercial Data & Analytics) organization to integrate comprehensive insights and analytics knowledge into the development and refinement of forecasts, enhancing depth and accuracy by using a broad spectrum of insights across the organization.

• Driving productivity and efficiency, streamlining forecasting processes where possible.

What we expect of you

Basic Qualifications

• Doctorate degree and 4 years of forecasting experience in biopharma/biotechnology/pharmaceutical.

• OR Master’s degree and 7 years of experience in biopharma/biotechnology/pharmaceutical.

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