Director, Forecasting Excellence

Job Description Summary

Location: Basel Switzerland or East Hanover NJ / Cambridge MA. If applying in the US please refer to REQ-. LI-#hybrid

The Strategy & Growth Portfolio Insights Forecasting team is seeking a new Director of Forecasting Excellence. This individual will oversee and assess transparent evidence-based long‑term forecasts and assumptions, including both modelling and the ability to generate and validate insights to support key assumptions across the oncology solid tumour therapy area. The Director will also synthesize key risks and opportunities in commercial assessments across programmes and the portfolio.

• Subject matter expert in long‑term revenue forecasting in Oncology Solid Tumour therapy area.
• Develops and maintains indication‑specific and epidemiology‑based sales forecasts for pipeline and in‑market brands on an as‑needed and evolving basis.
• Collaborates with S&G US and International teams and other cross‑functional partners to ensure market insights are integrated into forecasts and US & INT numbers rolled into a single set of brand numbers.
• Coordinates with and obtains alignment from key stakeholders, including US & INT, on critical assumptions and on generating and aligning the treatment journey.
• Identifies key risks and opportunities inherent in the forecast and employs appropriate methodologies for addressing and communicating these.
• Monitors the industry to remain informed of best practices and identifies opportunities to leverage new techniques and technologies that will enhance modelling and forecasting capabilities.
• Consolidates and summarizes sales forecast assumptions, methodology, and results to all relevant systems and platforms.
• Provides forecast model assumption guidance and training to S&G US & INT colleagues and priority country teams.
• Coaches and mentors junior colleagues.

• Education: Bachelors degree in Science, Economics, Statistics, Engineering, Business, or related field required; MBA or advanced degree strongly preferred.
• Languages: Fluent oral and written English; other language(s) are an additional asset.
• Experience / Professional Requirement:
  • Minimum 7 years of experience in the Biotech/Pharmaceutical industry, life sciences consulting, or commercial assessment; in‑market commercial finance or new product planning experience strongly preferred.
  • Direct experience assessing and forecasting oncology solid tumour projects.
  • Familiarity with epidemiology sources (IQVIA, Evaluate Pharma, claims data, and other standard pharmaceutical data).
  • Experience incorporating big‑data analytics, competitive intelligence, primary & secondary market research into forecast models.
  • Comfortable with identifying and implementing AI solutions where appropriate.
  • Strong understanding of forecast methodologies, including patient‑based forecast modelling and risk simulation (e.g., Monte Carlo).
  • Expertise in translating inputs from cross‑functional business partners into forecast model assumptions.
  • Demonstrated ability to work independently with minimal direction.
  • Strong project management skills with the ability to manage multiple projects simultaneously.
  • Effective team building and consulting skills with demonstrated ability to work collaboratively in cross‑functional teams.
  • Excellent written, verbal, and presentation skills.

We are committed to building an outstanding inclusive work environment and diverse teams representative of the patients and communities we serve.

Novartis is committed to working with and providing reasonable accommodation to all individuals. If, due to a medical condition or disability, you need a reasonable accommodation for any part of the recruitment process or to receive more detailed information about essential functions of a position, please send an e‑mail and let us know the nature of your request and your contact information.

Please include the job requisition number in your message.

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Full‑Time

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