Product Manager - Predictive Incrementality

(USA) Staff, Product Manager - Predictive Incrementality

Multiple locations Regular/ Permanent Salaried

The (USA) Staff, Product Manager leads strategy and execution for complex products, driving end-to-end outcomes from discovery through value realization. This role requires deep customer and technical insight, strong stakeholder leadership, and ownership of multi-quarter product vision and roadmaps. The position emphasizes data-driven decision making, cross-functional collaboration, and innovation in emerging technologies. The Staff Product Manager influences product direction, mentors peers, and ensures alignment with broader business objectives while managing risk and delivering measurable impact across the product lifecycle.

About the team:
The Measurement team at Walmart Connect develops advanced incrementality, attribution, and planning products that drive advertiser growth across multiple channels including Search, Display, In-store, Social, and CTV. Leveraging the largest retail transactions dataset in the world, the team delivers innovative measurement solutions by combining deep product expertise with data-driven insights. This group leads product discovery, strategy, and execution while aligning with business goals.

Working closely with cross-functional partners, the team shapes impactful roadmaps and advances Walmart's leadership in retail media technology through rigorous stakeholder management and emerging technology integration.

What you'll do:

• Own predictive incrementality modeling that quantifies each touchpoint's contribution to conversions, enabling full-funnel budget allocation
• Develop causal calibration approaches that combine experiment ground truth with observational attribution signals to produce trustworthy and actionable insights
• Define evaluation and governance practices that validate models against experiment data to provide reliable insights within SLA guardrails (that you define)
• Partner with cross functional product and engineering teams to operationalize incrementality across planning, reporting, and optimization

What you'll bring:

• Causal inference and measurement background, including experience dealing with the tradeoffs and synergies between observational modeling and experiment-based ground truth
• Proven ability to refine noisy measurement into decision-ready outputs (e.g., touchpoint credits/shares) that drive measurable business impact
• Track record of validating and governing predictive models against experiment-based targets, including evaluation rigor and iteration based on results
• Ability to communicate model assumptions, uncertainty, and decision implications clearly to both technical and non-technical partners

Minimum Qualifications:

Outlined below are the required minimum qualifications for this position. If none are listed, there are no minimum qualifications.

Option 1:
Bachelor's degree in computer science, engineering, or related area and 7 years' experience in product management. Option 2: 9 years' experience in product management or related area.

Preferred Qualifications:

Outlined below are the optional preferred qualifications for this position. If none are listed, there are no preferred qualifications.

Master's degree in Computer Science, Engineering, Business Administration, or related area and 6 years' experience as a product manager, ideally working on consumer-facing, large-scale, highly complex B2B/C products, We value candidates with a background in creating inclusive digital experiences, demonstrating knowledge in implementing Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG) 2.2 AA standards, assistive technologies, and integrating digital accessibility seamlessly. The ideal candidate would have knowledge of accessibility best practices and join us as we continue to create accessible products and services following Walmart's accessibility standards and guidelines for supporting an inclusive culture.

Primary

Location:

850 Cherry Ave, San Bruno, CA , United States of America Walmart and its subsidiaries are committed to maintaining a drug-free workplace and has a no tolerance policy regarding the use of illegal drugs and alcohol on the job. This policy applies to all employees and aims to create a safe and productive work environment.