CD&A - Director of Commercial Forecasting, Obesity

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Since 1980, we've helped pioneer the world of biotech in our fight against the world's toughest diseases. With our focus on four therapeutic areas –Oncology, Inflammation, General Medicine, and Rare Disease– we reach millions of patients each year. As a member of the Amgen team, you'll help make a lasting impact on the lives of patients as we research, manufacture, and deliver innovative medicines to help people live longer, fuller happier lives.

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CD&A - Director of Commercial Forecasting, Obesity

Let's do this. Let's change the world. The Forecasting team at Amgen serves as a key partner to Commercial leadership, providing strategic guidance and data-backed insights. This role is instrumental in driving commercial success and shaping future strategies for our Obesity business unit. The Director of Forecasting will oversee a team of talented individuals (full time Amgen FTEs) and is responsible for leading the forecasting efforts for the Obesity business unit.

The individual in this role will need to skillfully influence and challenge a diverse set of stakeholders from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of a rapidly evolving obesity market.

They will serve as a mentor, developing talent and guiding the team while providing technical guidance in forecasting methodologies. Additionally, the Director will articulate the interplay between Forecasting and related functions within Commercial Data & Analytics (Market Research, Analytics, Commercial Insights, Competitive Intelligence, and Marketing Mix) in contributing to the forecast.

Flexible Commuter role to the Thousand Oaks, CA office. You will work on-site a minimum of 2-3 days a week.

This position reports to the ED of Global Obesity and will be responsible for the following:

• Primary point of contact for senior Therapeutic Area leaders to ensure development of data/insight driven short term and long term forecasts for various brands within the Obesity Business Unit
• Preparing and presenting portfolio level forecast updates for senior leadership to address specific questions
• Facilitate consensus-building among senior collaborators to establish clear, transparent, and rigorous sales expectations for the portfolio assets by gaining their alignment and endorsement for forecast assumptions (inline indications as well as new near term launches)
• Help leadership identify actionable strategies to improve Commercial potential by identifying and prioritizing relevant risks & opportunities
• Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions
• Develop an objective point of view of portfolio strategy by integrating insights across multiple products, functions and capability areas
• Leverage communication and interpersonal skills to influence leadership on recommended course of action
• Quantify uncertainty through the use of scenario planning and advanced simulation models (e.g. Monte Carlo analysis, statistical trending)
• Use an in-depth understanding of diverse pharmaceutical data sources (eg. LAAD, National Audit Rx, Xponent, Epidemiology data sources etc) and their nuances to develop and implement enhanced forecasting approaches and methodologies
• Create and deliver effective presentations that are transparent and articulate all key variables in the forecast, ensuring clarity and comprehensive understanding for partners involved in decision-making processes
• Collaborate with the broader CD&A (Commercial Data & Analytics) organization to integrate comprehensive insights and analytics knowledge into the development and refinement of forecasts. This…