Senior Analyst

Senior Analyst, Turkey

Eurasia Group is seeking a Senior Analyst, Turkey to join our Middle East and North Africa (MENA) practice. This role is ideal for a candidate with deep expertise in Turkish politics and political economy who can translate fast-moving developments into clear, actionable guidance for corporate decision makers and financial market asset allocators.

The Senior Analyst will be responsible for producing timely, forward-looking analysis on evolving political risk in Turkey and its implications for trade flows, financial flows, central bank policy, fiscal policy, and key external relationships (including Turkey's interaction with the EU, Russia, and the Middle East). The role will also cover Turkey-relevant sectoral and strategic issues—such as the policy and geopolitical drivers shaping Turkey's manufacturing and resource landscape—while remaining flexible to support additional regional/thematic coverage as client needs evolve.

The preferred location for this role is Istanbul or Ankara. For the right candidate, the role can be based in London, Washington DC, or New York City on a hybrid schedule (four days per week in-office). The position reports to the MENA Practice Head and may include oversight of external consultants supporting Turkey-related work streams.

• Produce high-impact Turkey analysis for clients and internal stakeholders, translating political and policy developments into implications for markets, investment, and corporate strategy.
• Write concise, client-ready deliverables (approximately 30% of the role), including:
• Rapid-response memos and analytical notes on breaking developments
• Forward-looking political-risk assessments and scenario analysis
• Client-facing briefings and backgrounders for major moments (elections, cabinet reshuffles, legal/judicial decisions, macro policy inflection points)
• Deliver in-person and virtual client briefings (approximately 20% of the role), tailoring insights to distinct client types (corporates and investors) and answering "so what?" questions clearly and confidently.
• Build and maintain a differentiated source network across political, policy, business, and financial-market communities to develop proprietary insights and on-the-ground color.
• Track and analyze Turkey's political system in depth, including:
• Elections and political competition dynamics
• The role of the courts/judiciary and legal constraints in the political system
• Major political parties, key leaders, and the underlying incentives/constraints shaping their decisions
• Institutional dynamics across the presidency, parliament, economic ministries, regulators, and the central bank
• Assess how Turkish politics shapes core macro and market-relevant channels, including:
• Central bank policy and institutional independence/credibility
• Fiscal policy and distributional politics
• Policy-driven changes in trade and capital flows, investment climate, and the business operating environment
• Analyze Turkey's external posture and relationships—especially with the EU, Russia, and Middle East partners—and assess implications for sanctions risk, commercial ties, energy/security considerations, and investor sentiment.
• Contribute to broader MENA collaboration by working closely with regional colleagues (including on Turkey's linkages to issues such as Syria and Iraq, as relevant to clients).
• Support the MENA Practice Head on planning and execution of Eurasia Group's entire regional agendas and client priorities; manage discrete work streams with outside consultants when needed.
• Travel occasionally based on client and story needs (primarily to London and the GCC, with potential trips to New York and Tokyo).

• Experience:
  
  Typically 5+ years of relevant professional experience (journalism, finance/markets, consulting, research, or related fields). More experienced candidates are encouraged to apply.
• Turkey expertise:
  Demonstrated, expert-level understanding of Turkish politics and political economy, including key actors, institutions, and decision-making constraints.
• Client orientation:
  Strong ability to connect political developments to…