Deputy Director of Economic Forecasting and Tax Policy Analysis

Summary Statement

The Deputy Director of Economic Forecasting and Tax Policy Analysis is accountable for the operational management and delivery of the State’s economic forecasting, tax policy analysis, and revenue modeling functions, impacting the State’s fiscal position. Primary work includes planning and directing the daily operations and technical staff of the Office of Research and Analysis. This job requires a combination of leadership and hands‑on technical expertise to successfully ensure the accuracy, timeliness, and defensibility of forecasts, fiscal analyses, and legislative impact assessments that inform state budgeting, tax legislation, and revenue planning.

• Directs the daily, complex operations of a specialized economic and fiscal policy team, which includes developing, implementing, reviewing, and evaluating economic forecasting, tax policy analysis, and revenue modeling functions, and ensuring the delivery of forecasts, reports, and legislative analyses in accordance with statutory and executive timelines, goals, and objectives.
• Supervises a team of Economic/Fiscal Analyst and other support staff, which may include contractual staff. The elements of supervision include performing the following on a regular and continuing basis: planning, assigning, reviewing, evaluating, coaching, training, disciplining, and recommending hire, termination, and promotion.
• Directs the execution and technical quality of economic and fiscal analyses, including revenue forecasting, evaluation of tax proposals, and modeling the fiscal impacts of state and federal legislation. Responsible for preparing, reviewing, and ensuring the quality control of deliverables submitted for the Director’s approval.
• Provides advanced technical leadership in the design, development, and application of economic, financial, or econometric models, including statistical and forecasting models, and may directly conduct complex analyses to address high‑risk issues or meet critical deadlines.
• Directs analytical review of tax policy proposals against statutory intent, distributional outcomes, and fiscal sustainability goals, and prepares technical recommendations and briefing materials for Director consideration.
• Accountable for overseeing data extraction, transformation, validation, and reporting processes using the state’s tax administration and budget systems to support forecasting and fiscal analysis.
• Develops, maintains, and enforces internal documentation, templates, and repeatable analytical processes for forecasting, legislative impact analysis, and economic reporting.
• Identifies analytical, data, and timing risks; ensures compliance with established methodologies and standards; and escalates issues that could affect forecast accuracy, statutory deadlines, or fiscal decision‑making.
• Leads and is accountable for improvements in internal workflows, data management, and modeling tools to enhance efficiency, accuracy, transparency, and reproducibility in forecasting and analysis.
• Supports and may provide Director‑level briefings to senior leadership, including the Secretary of Finance, DEFAC, legislative committees, and others.
• Serves as Acting Director when required and maintains operational continuity and staff supervision during Director absences.
• Performs other related duties as required.

• Possession of a Bachelors degree or higher in Public Administration, Economics, Business Management, Accounting, Finance, Public Policy or related field.
• Two years’ experience in tax policy analysis, revenue forecasting, public finance, economic analysis, financial analysis, or related quantitative analytical work involving the evaluation of tax, fiscal, or economic issues and their real‑world implications for government, businesses, or the public.
• Two years’ experience in econometrics such as the application of mathematical and statistical techniques to economics in the study of problems, the analysis of data, and the development and testing of theories and economic models.
• Two years’ experience in developing and implementing fiscal models, modernization tools, and/or enterprise data systems.
• Two years’…