Global Director, Forecasting – Infectious Disease

Global Director, Forecasting – Infectious Disease ()
Gaithersburg, MDGlobal Insights, Analytics & Forecasting, BBUHybrid Work - on average 3 days a week from office

The Director is a senior global forecasting leader responsible for demand forecasting across the Infectious Disease portfolio, spanning early-stage, late-stage, and in-market assets, as well as business development and investment case building. The role serves as the global forecasting lead and strategic thought partnerto

Early Commercial, Finance, Market Access & Pricing, Marketing, Medical, Research &Development, and Business Development teams. The position also includes vendor and resource management to ensure rigorous use of data and analytics within forecasting, continuous improvement of forecasting approaches, and delivery of decision-grade commercial assessments. Time allocation may vary by business cycle and portfolio priorities.

You’llplay a critical role in shaping global commercial expectations, portfolio choices, risk and opportunity framing, and executive decision-making for early-stage, late-stage, in-market, and external business development opportunities.

• Lead global short- and long-term demand forecasts—including patients, volume, treatment starts, and revenue—for s using robust patient-based and market-based models.

• Own forecast methodology, assumptions, and governance, ensuring objectivity, transparency, and consistency with enterprise standards.

• Develop and refine forecasts for early-stage, late-stage assets to support stage-gate decisions, portfolio prioritization, investment choices, and resource allocation.

• Use primary market research, epidemiology, competitive intelligence, access and pricing dynamics, real-world evidence, and other relevant data and analytics to inform forecast assumptions and models.

• Proactivelyidentifyand quantify key risks and opportunities through scenario and sensitivity analyses.

• Partner closely with Early Commercial, Finance, Market Access & Pricing, Marketing, Medical, Research &Development, Business Development, and regional or market teams to ensure alignment on assumptions and implications.

• Support global business planning, governance reviews, portfolio decisions, and opportunity assessments with clear, executive-ready narratives.

• Serve as a trusted advisor to senior global leaders, clearly articulating forecast drivers, changes, uncertainties, and strategic implications.

• Lead forecasting and commercial case development for business development opportunities, including in-licensing, partnerships, acquisitions, and other external innovation opportunities.

• Build patient-based market models, revenue forecasts, risk-adjusted scenarios, and commercial inputs to valuation and investment cases.

• Conduct commercial due diligence by assessing unmet need, patient pathways, market evolution, competitive dynamics, access and pricing considerations, and strategic fit.

• Translate incomplete or uncertain evidence into transparent assumptions, scenarios, trade-offs, and recommendations for governance and executive decision-making.

• Ensure alignment between business development forecasts, internal pipeline forecasts, therapeutic area strategy, and portfolio planning.

• Ensure relevant data, analytics, and insights are applied appropriately to forecasting, scenario development, and business case building.

• Manage and prioritize internal forecasters, contractors, and external vendors supporting forecasting and business development deliverables.

• Partner with data and analytics specialists, Global IA&F, and GIBEX capability teams to evaluate and deploy data…