Consultant National Climate Vulnerability Mapping of Health Service Delivery Systems

Background

UNFPA, the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), is the United Nations’ population and development agency that expands the possibilities for women and young people to fulfill their potential. The climate crisis is impacting all dimensions of demography and public health. The United Nations Population Fund emphasizes the linkage between population dynamics and climate change is essential for working on policies that address this issue through reproductive health and gender equality, including reproductive rights, while safeguarding the environment.

As a result, UNFPA aims to support the governments and other partners in the design of people-centered climate change solutions and enabling communities to adapt by placing women and girls at the center of these efforts.

The purpose of this consultancy is to conduct National Climate Vulnerability Mapping of Health Service Delivery Systems
, a geospatial analysis using Geographical Information System (GIS) data to assess the vulnerability of healthcare infrastructure to climate stressors (extreme heat, humidity etc), aimed at identifying high-risk hotspot areas in Türkiye, including policy recommendations.

The consultant would be responsible for: during the consultancy period, analyzing and providing a geospatial visualization of the threats posed by climate change to essential healthcare infrastructure. By correlating infrastructure coordinates with climate stressors recorded over the past 10–15 years, the assessment aims to establish statistically significant vulnerabilities and identify high-risk hotspot areas necessitating strategic adaptation (provinces or regions) in Türkiye.

• Spatial infrastructure data: GIS-based data of health service provision units, focusing on facilities located in environmentally risky areas (extreme heat, increased humidity, flood zones, or high-risk wildfire areas).
• Service utilization data:
  Reproductive health service usage and related capacity data such as increases in hospital admission rate.
• Climate exposure data:
  Climate stressors such as frequency of extreme heat days, drought severity, increased humidity, floods and wildfires to measure exposure to climate change.

The consultant is encouraged to propose additional relevant variables that could enhance the model of the analysis.

Conduct a geospatial analysis to cross-reference climate stressors (e.g., extreme heat, drought, floods) with health indicators and the location of health service provision units. This quantitative analysis aims to pinpoint statistically significant vulnerabilities and identify high-risk hotspot regions in Türkiye where reproductive health outcomes are most severely threatened.

Empirical data on the healthcare infrastructure, service capacity, and logistics will be acquired from the Ministry of Health (MoH), while environmental exposure metrics can be sourced from TSMS, the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change, or AFAD. Inclusion of supplementary datasets is encouraged to ensure comprehensive analysis. The selected consultants are accountable for the acquisition and management of primary and secondary data required for the analysis.

Based on the findings derived from the quantitative analysis, the consultant shall formulate evidence-based policy recommendations aimed at facilitating effective interventions and strategic institutional responses.

Since 1971, UNFPA in Türkiye has worked with government institutions, civil society organizations, municipalities, and the private sector to improve the well-being of women, young people, and vulnerable groups. Under its 8th Country Programme (2026–2030), UNFPA Türkiye focuses on strengthening demographic resilience and promoting women and family-friendly policies; advancing gender equality and women’s empowerment; promoting women’s health and safe motherhood; empowering young people and safeguarding their well-being;

and advancing climate action led by women and youth.

UNFPA is seeking candidates that transform, inspire and deliver high impact and sustained…