Forecasting Manager

• Compensation: USD 110,000 - USD 125,000 - yearly

LVMH’s Perfumes & Cosmetics activities benefit from exceptional dynamism that relies on both the longevity and development of key lines, and on the boldness of new creations.

All are driven by the same values: a quest for excellence, creativity, innovation and perfect mastery of their image.

The brands cultivate what makes them unique and is guaranteed to make them stand out in a highly competitive global market. The success of the Perfumes & Cosmetics division depends on finding the right balance between major historic Houses such as Parfums Christian Dior, Parfums Givenchy, Acqua di Parma, Guerlain, and newer brands with strong potential like Kenzo Parfums, Fresh, and Make Up For Ever.

LVMH Perfumes & Cosmetics invites you today to join its North America teams. LVMH Perfumes & Cosmetics is part of the LVMH Group.

• Accountable Forecast for Basic catalog for one or several LVMH Beauty Brands.
• Responsible and challenger of forecast for Novelty and POSM lines in collaboration with business stakeholders in Brand’s Teams.

Position is full-time in New York City, Manhattan Madison Avenue brand offices.

• Accountable for forecast performance to meet the objectives (Forecast Accuracy, Forecast valorization vs budget, etc.) and animating the continuous improvement (gap to target, action plans, etc.).
• Manage Basic forecasts through model management (Machine Learning), parameter maintenance, and sell-in/sell-out analysis (rolling 18 month), Retailers inputs to improve Forecast Accuracy.
• Responsible of Launches & animations forecasts parameters with marketing and sales team.
• Accountable of the maintenance of the item master data (item activation, item status, end of life dates).
• Challenge business stakeholders up to Top management team (COMEX level) to ensure forecast consistency and understand anything that could impact sell in (animations, change in strategy, merchandising update).
• Responsible for the training of all marketing & sales newcomers on forecast deadlines and responsibilities.
• Accountable for forecast reporting for the monthly S&OP, lead demand review sessions, and drive structured, fact-based discussions with local and HQ teams.
• Actively participate in the identification, design, and implementation aimed to optimize forecasting processes and associated tools. Leading projects to level-up forecast performance.
• Participate in benchmarking initiatives throughout Maisons and markets to achieve and maintain outstanding NAM performance.

Reports to Senior Manager Demand & Supply Planning

n/a

• Operations team
• Sales and KAM planners
• Marketing teams
• Central Logistics Department

• Retail Business Partners

• Bachelors degree in Supply Chain Management, Business Analytics, Data Management, or related quantitative field. Master’s degree in Supply Chain Management, Business Analytics, Data Management, or a related quantitative field is a plus.
• Minimum 3 to 5 years sell in forecast experience, preferably for a company that supplies goods to major US Department stores, or solid training in this area
• Very strong analytical skills (Data crunch, Automation of analysis, Reporting and data synthesis, etc.). The role requires strong problem-structuring skills, intellectual rigor, and the ability to translate complex analytical insights into clear business recommendations.
• Management of the priorities in autonomy. Adapts easily to change.
• Capacity and willingness to conduct problem solving. Ability to lead improvement projects and initiatives.
• Excellent communication & leadership skills with all departments, management levels & France. Ability to influence without authority and to engage senior stakeholders through structured, fact-based reasoning.
• Expert-level proficiency in Excel and ease in the use of Power BI.
• Proficiency in using ERP/MRP systems and forecasting system (Machine learning type) is preferred.
• Fluency or working knowledge of French is nice to have.
• Deals…