Manager Load Forecasting and Analysis

Job Title

Load Forecasting and Analysis Manager

Manages day‑to‑day and strategic direction for Load Forecasting and Analysis, including setting the roadmap for evolving forecasting capabilities through the use of advanced analytics and emerging machine learning and AI approaches. Builds and leads a multidisciplinary team of forecasting, meteorology and data science professionals responsible for delivering forecasts to support system operations and planning, including weather‑informed and renewable generation forecasting support, while encouraging innovation and continuous improvement.

Manages the design, development, implementation, and operation of ERCOT’s Load Forecasting and Load Profiling functions, including probabilistic and next‑generation forecasting methodologies to support system operability and decision‑making under uncertainty. Directs load research sample design, data collection, and analysis required for Load Forecasting and Load Profiling, using data sources such as weather, distributed energy resources (DERs), electric vehicles, and market data to improve forecast accuracy.

Oversees management of data and computing systems used to support the forecasting process.

• Responsible for hiring, coaching, training, and performance management of staff
• Reviews and approves staff timesheets and leave requests
• Frequently interacts with reporting supervisors, customers, and/or functional peer group managers, normally involving matters between functional areas or customers
• Responsible for the management and development of a multidisciplinary team supporting forecasting, data analysis, and modeling functions, including coaching, training, and performance management
• Typically has individual contributors as direct reports but may also have supervisory direct reports, with responsibility for team performance
• Generally provides input to budgeting and financial decisions that impact the department
• Requests approval for financial actions beyond a limited scope
• Supports the evaluation and adoption of advanced analytics, machine learning, and AI methods within forecasting processes
• Leads continuous improvement of forecasting processes, tools, and methodologies

• Provides oversight of meteorological support for operational and planning forecasts, including load, wind, and solar generation, and supports weather‑related risk assessment and situational awareness for grid operations
• Prepares and administers budgets and financial goals for the department
• Manages the resources and day‑to‑day operations of Load Forecasting and Load Profiling functions to assure efficiency and productivity of personnel
• Manages the overall operation, maintenance, and enhancement of Load Profiling System to ensure that accurate and timely data is provided to the Data Aggregation, Settlements, EMS, Market Participants, and other stakeholders
• Ensures that Load Forecasting and Load Profiling business rules and guidelines are properly developed, applied, and maintained
• Develops and implements policies and procedures related to Load Forecasting and Load Profiling systems
• Develops, monitors, and refines workflow and business processes to meet the goals of the Load Forecasting and Load Profiling functions
• Actively participates in stakeholder process as an expert resource on Load Forecasting and Load Profiling
• Manages statistical and economic data analysis for load forecasting purposes across ERCOT for use in load forecast model development and evaluation
• Manages statistical sample design and data analysis for load research across ERCOT for use in load profile model development and evaluation
• Serves as an expert witness for Load Forecasting and Load Profiling issues with the Governing Board and regulatory bodies
• Defines and monitors operational systems’ functional requirements, deployment strategies, testing requirements, and strategic direction
• Facilitates systems development, product implementation, certification and testing criteria and general workflow procedures with other departments and ERCOT clients by effectively managing projects and contracts
• Directs the profiling of individual retail customer premises
• Negoti…