BAI - Senior Manager, US Forecasting, Oncology

** Join Amgen's Mission of Serving Patients*
* At Amgen, if you feel like you're part of something bigger, it's because you are. Our shared mission-to serve patients living with serious illnesses-drives all that we do.

Since 1980, we've helped pioneer the world of biotech in our fight against the world's toughest diseases. With our focus on four therapeutic areas
-Oncology, Inflammation, General Medicine, and Rare Disease- we reach millions of patients each year. Amgen is advancing a broad and deep pipeline of medicines to treat cancer, heart disease, inflammatory conditions, rare diseases, and obesity and obesity-related conditions. As a member of the Amgen team, you'll help make a lasting impact on the lives of patients as we research, manufacture, and deliver innovative medicines to help people live longer, fuller happier lives.

Our award-winning culture is collaborative, innovative, and science based. If you have a passion for challenges and the opportunities that lay within them, you'll thrive as part of the Amgen team. Join us and transform the lives of patients while transforming your career.

** BAI - Senior Manager, US Forecasting, Oncology*
* ** What you will do*
* Let's do this. Let's change the world. The Forecasting team at Amgen plays a pivotal role as a strategic partner to Commercial leadership, offering data-backed insights crucial for driving commercial success. As a Forecasting Senior Manager, you will contribute significantly to our inline brand strategy, executing and managing discussions with brand leads and commercial leaders.

The individual in this role will need to strategically influence and challenge a diverse set of collaborators from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of the particular disease area of interest and markets they support.

This role reports to the Director of US Oncology Forecasting and operates within the broader framework of Global Customer Capabilities & Innovation (GCCI).

** Flexible Commuter role to Thousand Oaks office. You will work on-site 2-3 days a week.*
* ** Advanced Forecasting Techniques:*
* + Ability to build detailed and advanced forecast models (patient, Rx, sales, Rx Based, etc.) projecting units and revenue for our inline products by indication

+ Use advanced simulation models (e.g., Monte Carlo analysis, statistical trending) to quantify uncertainty

+ Leverage diverse pharmaceutical data sources and their nuances to enhance forecasting approaches and methodologies

+ Leads methodology development and ensures consistency across multiple brand forecasts

+ Designs forecasting frameworks adaptable for 'what-if' and scenario planning

** Market Analysis and Competitive Intelligence:*
* + Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions

+ Develop an objective brand strategy by integrating insights across multiple functions and capability areas

+ Interprets policy and pricing changes (e.g., IRA, access shifts) and quantifies their impact

** Collaboration and Stakeholder Engagement:*
* + Act as the key point of contact for regional brand leads, engaging them in forecasting deliverables

+ Facilitate discussions and build consensus among partners to establish clear and rigorous sales expectations for in-line and LCM indications

+ Advises cross-functional teams on implications of clinical milestones and competitive events

+ Challenges entrenched assumptions; drives process improvements across cycles

** Strategic Insights and Recommendations:*
* + Support leadership in identifying actionable strategies to improve Commercial potential, prioritizing risks and opportunities

+ Provide informed recommendations on product development continuation or discontinuation based on market conditions, financial projections, and strategic goals

+ Maintains awareness of broader market dynamics and integrates them into TA-level forecasts

** Communication and Presentation:*
* + Develop and deliver transparent presentations that articulate key variables in the forecast, ensuring comprehensive understanding for decision-makers

+ Use communication and interpersonal skills to influence leadership on recommended courses of action

+ Narrates drivers of forecast change, frames forecasts in terms of strategic risks and opportunities

** Collaboration with BAI:*
* + Collaborate with the broader BAI organization to integrate comprehensive insights and analytics knowledge into forecast development

+ Improve the depth and accuracy of forecasts by leveraging a broad spectrum of insights across the organization

+ Explores AI/ML and automation; identifies team capability gaps and builds skills

** Process Optimization:*
* + Drive productivity and efficiency by standardizing forecasting processes where possible

+ Oversees deliverables across brands/assets; ensures forecasts are auditable and scalable

** What we expect of you*
* We are all different, yet we all use our unique contributions to serve…